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Crude Decisions
Oil markets are pricing geopolitics, not fundamentals. We lay out trade setups for both bulls and bears.
20 hrs ago
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Crude Decisions
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Top Trade Ideas - June 23rd
Do markets fade the escalation like last week, or is this time different?
Jun 23
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Top Trade Ideas - June 23rd
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Word on the Street
Goldman sees a step-up for BoE cuts, Howard Marks’ latest investor letter, SocGen find FX proxies for oil, and pricing oil-related Iran risks.
Jun 22
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Word on the Street
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Oil Chokepoint Intact
A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz is highly unlikely.
Jun 20
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Oil Chokepoint Intact
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Operation Twist
Japan's bond market is no longer the anchor. It's the shockwave.
Jun 18
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Operation Twist
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Top Trade Ideas - June 16th
A week of rate cuts, war headlines, and trades that reward strong nerves.
Jun 16
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Top Trade Ideas - June 16th
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Global Primer Series: Credit Default Swaps
The derivative at the heart of modern credit risk transfer.
Jun 15
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Global Primer Series: Credit Default Swaps
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The UK's Growth Illusion Just Broke
Why we can't fund spending with non-existent growth.
Jun 13
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The UK's Growth Illusion Just Broke
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When Everything Yields the Same
A convergence of yields, a divergence of risks.
Jun 11
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When Everything Yields the Same
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Top Trade Ideas - June 9th
Treasury auctions and inflation on the radar.
Jun 9
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Top Trade Ideas - June 9th
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Word on the Street
S&P Global's "Economic Moat" index outperforms, MS releases US consumer pulse survey, JPM tweaks SPX forecasts, and Citi on EMs.
Jun 8
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Word on the Street
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Beyond The AI Arms Race
Big Tech's quest for a unique edge.
Jun 6
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Beyond The AI Arms Race
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